Polymarket

JUST IN: Polymarket traders remain overwhelmingly confident that gold will finish 2025 above $3,200, now priced at 97.5%. All other ranges from $3,100 to below $2,500, are each sitting under 1%, showing virtually no trader support for a lower year-end close. With nearly $4M in volume, the market is signaling a clear consensus: Gold strength looks firmly priced in heading into 2026. 👉 Are markets underestimating the risk of a reversal or is this trend unstoppable?

LATEST UPDATE: Polymarket traders continue to price in a strong likelihood of a 25 bps rate cut at the December meeting. Current probabilities: * 25 bps decrease: 86%  * No change: 13%  * 50+ bps decrease: ~1% * 25+ bps increase: <1% With $164M+ in trading volume, markets are signaling that a December cut is now the overwhelmingly expected outcome, especially following recent data and Fed communication. 👉 Will the Fed follow through, or are markets overconfident?

BREAKING: Polymarket traders are weighing in on whether Donald Trump will release the Epstein files before year-end. Current odds: * By November 30: 6%  * By December 31: 73% With $1.6M+ traded, the market continues to move as speculation grows around timing, transparency, and political pressure. 👉 What’s your read, unlikely hype, or an end-of-year reveal?

JUST IN: Polymarket traders are divided as the race for TIME 2025 Person of the Year heats up. Current odds: * Artificial Intelligence: 32% * Jensen Huang: 29% * Pope Leo XIV: 15% * Donald Trump: 7% AI still holds the lead, but momentum has shifted, and Jensen Huang has surged in recent days, closing the gap and signaling a two-way race heading into year-end. With $6.7M+ traded, this is one of the platform’s most actively debated cultural and geopolitical markets. 👉 Who do you think will define 2025?

BREAKING: Polymarket traders are pricing in steep odds against Bitcoin clearing higher thresholds by November 22. Current probabilities:
 • 86,000: 25% • 88,000: 9% • 90,000: 4% • 92,000: 2% With less than two days left, the market is signaling a tight ceiling and fading confidence in a breakout before the deadline. 👉 Will BTC surprise traders, or are we locked in below these levels?

LATEST REPORT: Polymarket traders are zeroing in on Trump’s likely pick for the next Fed Chair, and one frontrunner is starting to separate from the field. Current odds: - Kevin Hassett: 47% - Christopher Waller: 21% - Kevin Warsh: 14% - Rick Rieder: 10.7% With $7.3M+ traded, this market has become one of the most closely watched policy-related predictions on the platform. Traders appear to be pricing in a more traditional, market-friendly choice, but volatility remains as new reports and rumors circulate. 👉 Do you think Hassett holds the lead from here, or could a late contender surprise?

BREAKING: Polymarket traders are overwhelmingly bullish on NVIDIA heading into earnings, assigning a 90% chance that NVDA will beat expectations. That’s a massive +40% jump in confidence, with the market pricing in strong demand for AI infrastructure, GPU sales, and data-center growth. With sentiment this high, traders seem convinced NVIDIA will deliver yet another blockbuster quarter. 👉 Do you think the market is overconfident, or is NVDA about to smash estimates again?

LATEST UPDATE: Polymarket traders are zeroing in on today as the overwhelmingly expected release date for Gemini 3.0. Current odds: * November 18: 82.5%  * November 19: 10.8% * November 22: 1.3% * November 30+: 1.8% With nearly $7M traded, the market is leaning heavily toward a Nov 18 drop, while confidence in any later date has collapsed to near zero. 👉 Will Google deliver today, or is the market pricing in optimism too early?

JUST IN: Polymarket traders are increasingly skeptical that a tariff dividend will materialize in 2025. Current odds: 7% chance With over $1M traded, sentiment now leans heavily toward unlikely, but the market remains open for anyone betting on a surprise move. 👉 Are traders underestimating the possibility of a late-year policy push?

BIG NEWS: Polymarket 🤝 Ultimate Fighting Championship Polymarket is now the official & exclusive prediction market partner of UFC.